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1:

Models for short term malaria prediction in Sri Lanka.

Briët OJ, Vounatsou P, Gunawardena DM, Galappaththy GN, Amerasinghe PH.

Malar J. 2008 May 6;7:76.

PMID: 18460204 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

2:

Temporal correlation between malaria and rainfall in Sri Lanka.

Briët OJ, Vounatsou P, Gunawardena DM, Galappaththy GN, Amerasinghe PH.

Malar J. 2008 May 6;7:77.

PMID: 18460205 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

3:

Forecasting malaria incidence based on monthly case reports and environmental factors in Karuzi, Burundi, 1997-2003.

Gomez-Elipe A, Otero A, van Herp M, Aguirre-Jaime A.

Malar J. 2007 Sep 24;6:129.

PMID: 17892540 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

4:

Forecasting malaria incidence from historical morbidity patterns in epidemic-prone areas of Ethiopia: a simple seasonal adjustment method performs best.

Abeku TA, de Vlas SJ, Borsboom G, Teklehaimanot A, Kebede A, Olana D, van Oortmarssen GJ, Habbema JD.

Trop Med Int Health. 2002 Oct;7(10):851-7.

PMID: 12358620 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

5:

Dynamic linear model and SARIMA: a comparison of their forecasting performance in epidemiology.

Nobre FF, Monteiro AB, Telles PR, Williamson GD.

Stat Med. 2001 Oct 30;20(20):3051-69.

PMID: 11590632 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

6:

Maps of the Sri Lanka malaria situation preceding the tsunami and key aspects to be considered in the emergency phase and beyond.

Briët OJ, Galappaththy GN, Konradsen F, Amerasinghe PH, Amerasinghe FP.

Malar J. 2005 Jan 27;4:8.

PMID: 15676073 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

7:

One-year delayed effect of fog on malaria transmission: a time-series analysis in the rain forest area of Mengla County, south-west China.

Tian L, Bi Y, Ho SC, Liu W, Liang S, Goggins WB, Chan EY, Zhou S, Sung JJ.

Malar J. 2008 Jun 19;7:110.

PMID: 18565224 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

8:

Climate prediction of El Niño malaria epidemics in north-west Tanzania.

Jones AE, Wort UU, Morse AP, Hastings IM, Gagnon AS.

Malar J. 2007 Dec 6;6:162.

PMID: 18062817 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

9:

[Study on the feasibility for ARIMA model application to predict malaria incidence in an unstable malaria area]

Zhu JM, Tang LH, Zhou SS, Huang F.

Zhongguo Ji Sheng Chong Xue Yu Ji Sheng Chong Bing Za Zhi. 2007 Jun;25(3):232-6. Chinese.

PMID: 18038786 [PubMed - in process]

10:

A malaria risk analysis in an irrigated area in Sri Lanka.

Klinkenberg E, van der Hoek W, Amerasinghe FP.

Acta Trop. 2004 Jan;89(2):215-25.

PMID: 14732243 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

11:

Malaria seasonality and rainfall seasonality in Sri Lanka are correlated in space.

Briët OJ, Vounatsou P, Amerasinghe PH.

Geospat Health. 2008 May;2(2):183-90.

PMID: 18686267 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

12:

Weather-based prediction of Plasmodium falciparum malaria in epidemic-prone regions of Ethiopia I. Patterns of lagged weather effects reflect biological mechanisms.

Teklehaimanot HD, Lipsitch M, Teklehaimanot A, Schwartz J.

Malar J. 2004 Nov 12;3:41.

PMID: 15541174 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

13:

Towards empirical description of malaria seasonality in southern Africa: the example of Zimbabwe.

Mabaso ML, Craig M, Vounatsou P, Smith T.

Trop Med Int Health. 2005 Sep;10(9):909-18.

PMID: 16135199 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

14:

Sri Lanka malaria maps.

Briët OJ, Gunawardena DM, van der Hoek W, Amerasinghe FP.

Malar J. 2003 Jul 22;2:22. Epub 2003 Jul 22.

PMID: 12914667 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

15:

Malaria stratification, climate, and epidemic early warning in Eritrea.

Ceccato P, Ghebremeskel T, Jaiteh M, Graves PM, Levy M, Ghebreselassie S, Ogbamariam A, Barnston AG, Bell M, del Corral J, Connor SJ, Fesseha I, Brantly EP, Thomson MC.

Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2007 Dec;77(6 Suppl):61-8.

PMID: 18165476 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

17:

Time series modeling for syndromic surveillance.

Reis BY, Mandl KD.

BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2003 Jan 23;3:2. Epub 2003 Jan 23.

PMID: 12542838 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

18:

[Climate variability and number of deaths attributable to malaria in the Niakhar area, Senegal, from 1984 to 1996]

Ndiaye O, Hesran JY, Etard JF, Diallo A, Simondon F, Ward MN, Robert V.

Sante. 2001 Jan-Feb;11(1):25-33. French.

PMID: 11313229 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

19:

The El Niño Southern Oscillation and the historic malaria epidemics on the Indian subcontinent and Sri Lanka: an early warning system for future epidemics?

Bouma MJ, van der Kaay HJ.

Trop Med Int Health. 1996 Feb;1(1):86-96.

PMID: 8673827 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

20:

[Current malaria situation in the Republic of Kazakhstan]

Bismil'din FB, Shapieva ZhZh, Anpilova EN.

Med Parazitol (Mosk). 2001 Jan-Mar;(1):24-33. Russian.

PMID: 11548308 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

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