Figure 4.

Intrinsic rates of increase of Anopheles gambiae populations, as predicted with air (open symbols) and water temperatures (closed symbols) for Kisian (squares), a lowland area in western Kenya and Fort Ternan (circles) and Kericho (diamonds), two highland areas in western Kenya, considering historical (negative values on x-axis), present-day (0°C), or future (positive values on x-axis) climate conditions. Again, results are presented for the large-sized pools only. Note that only an effect of climate change on larval development time is assumed (see methods).