Malaria Journal

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Bayesian modelling of the effect of climate on malaria in Burundi

Hermenegilde Nkurunziza*, Albrecht Gebhardt and Jürgen Pilz

Malaria Journal 2010, 9:114 doi:10.1186/1475-2875-9-114

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Geo-additive modelling of malaria in Burundi

Hermenegilde Nkurunziza, Albrecht Gebhardt, Jürgen Pilz Malaria Journal 2011, 10:234 (11 August 2011)

Models suggest a strong positive association between malaria incidence in a given month and the minimum temperature of the previous month. Non-climatic variables include socio-economic conditions, food shortage, limited access to healthcare service, precarious housing, promiscuity, poor hygienic conditions, limited access to drinking water, land use and displacement of the population.