Figure 9.

Prediction of malaria incidence. X-axis: time (15-days). Y-axis: incidences. The solid or dotted lines represent the predicted values using respectively HMM model or observed NDVI. I: predicted incidence of P. falciparum parasitaemia using HMM model. IO: predicted incidence of P. falciparum parasitaemia using observed NDVI. G: predicted incidence of P. falciparum gametocytaemia using HMM model. GO: predicted incidence of P. falciparum gametocytaemia using observed NDVI. S: predicted incidence of susceptible children using HMM model. SO: predicted incidence of susceptible children using observed NDVI. R: predicted incidence of resistant children using HMM model. RO: predicted incidence of resistant children using observed NDVI.