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Odds ratios for presence of different chromosomal forms estimated from the geo-statistical Bayesian multiple multinomial regression model. |
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| Parameters |
Savanna |
Bamako |
Hybrids/Recombinants |
|
|
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| Posterior median (95%CI) |
Posterior median (95%CI) |
Posterior median (95%CI) |
|
|
|
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| Rainfall |
0.95 (0.83–1.08) |
1.09 (0.99–1.20) |
1.22 (1.03–1.46) |
| Max temperature |
0.74 (0.47–1.07) |
6.09 (4.29–7.99) |
2.32(1.34–3.97) |
| Min temperature |
0.41(0.22–0.99) |
0.07 (0.04–0.14) |
0.28 (0.14–0.58) |
| NDVI |
1.46 (1.30–1.65) |
1.04 (0.96–1.13) |
1.03 (0.88–1.19) |
| SWS |
2.02 (1.42–2.84) |
5.98 (4.45–8.04) |
3.25 (1.99–5.32) |
| Distance to water bodies |
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| < 4 km |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
| 4 to 10 km |
0.20 (0.05–0.89) |
1.52 (0.40–7.01) |
0.42 (0.17–0.89) |
| >10 to 20 km |
0.94 (0.15–7.88) |
1.64 (0.14–14.05) |
0.18 (0.04–0.74) |
| > 20 km |
0.69 (0.09–4.49) |
3.66(0.22–56.66) |
0.31 (0.07–1.33) |
| Suitability to transmission |
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| Suitable |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
| Not suitable |
4.72(3.43–6.63) |
24.76 (16.03–37.77) |
3.53 (2.34–5.65) |
| Agro-ecological zones (AEZ) |
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| South savanna |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
| North savanna |
0.29 (0.07–2.00) |
2.92 (0.31–29.56) |
0.24 (0.06–0.82) |
| Sahel |
0.01 (0.00–0.79) |
0.00 (0.00–13.85) |
0.05 (0.00–0.92) |
| Spatial parameters |
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| 3/ρ ** (km) |
428.2 (101.2–1755.2) |
1113.4 (327.0–2135.6) |
953.2 (318.1–2090.0) |
| σ2 |
9.95 (4.45–37.00) |
24.95 (8.29–67.78) |
8.57 (3.47–22.58) |
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*Odds ratios are relative to Mopti form **Distance (km) with spatial correlation < 5% | |||
Sogoba et al. Malaria Journal 2008 7:205 doi:10.1186/1475-2875-7-205 |
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