Table 3 |
|||||
|
Expected malaria incidence by forecasting model and observed monthly malaria notification rates per 100 inhabitants of Karuzi, Burundi, in the validation period 2002–2003. |
|||||
| Month |
Expected |
Observed |
Month |
Expected |
Observed |
|
|
|||||
| Jan 2002 |
6.2 |
8.4 |
Jan 2003 |
2.7 |
4 |
| Feb |
7.3 |
5.4 |
Feb |
3.3 |
3 |
| Mar |
5.8 |
5.2 |
Mar |
4.3 |
3.4 |
| Apr |
5.8 |
3.8 |
Apr |
3.9 |
3.6 |
| May |
3.3 |
4.4 |
May |
4 |
4.3 |
| Jun |
5.5 |
4.3 |
Jun |
4.7 |
3.7 |
| Jul |
4.5 |
4.3 |
Jul |
4 |
4.1 |
| Aug |
4.5 |
3.1 |
Aug |
3.3 |
2.4 |
| Sep |
3.5 |
4.1 |
Sep |
3.7 |
2.6 |
| Oct |
4.1 |
4.7 |
Oct |
2.7 |
3.1 |
| Nov |
5.5 |
3.2 |
Nov |
4.2 |
1.5 |
| Dec |
4.4 |
3.2 |
Dec |
1.3 |
1.1 |
|
|
|||||
|
Gomez-Elipe et al. Malaria Journal 2007 6:129 doi:10.1186/1475-2875-6-129 |
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