Forecasting malaria incidence based on monthly case reports and environmental factors in Karuzi, Burundi, 1997–2003
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* Corresponding author: Alberto Gomez-Elipe agomez.elipe@gmail.com
Malaria Journal 2007, 6:129 doi:10.1186/1475-2875-6-129
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BioMed Central: 5 citations
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Geo-additive modelling of malaria in Burundi Hermenegilde Nkurunziza, Albrecht Gebhardt, Jürgen Pilz Malaria Journal 2011, 10:234 (11 August 2011) Models suggest a strong positive association between malaria incidence in a given month and the minimum temperature of the previous month. Non-climatic variables include socio-economic conditions, food shortage, limited access to healthcare service, precarious housing, promiscuity, poor hygienic conditions, limited access to drinking water, land use and displacement of the population.
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Eskindir Loha, Bernt Lindtjørn Malaria Journal 2010, 9:166 (16 June 2010) This study describes falciparum malaria incidence models linked with meteorological data. Variability in the models was principally attributed to regional differences, and a single model was not found that fits all locations. Past falciparum malaria incidence appeared to be a superior predictor than meteorology. Future efforts in malaria modelling may benefit from inclusion of non-meteorological factors.
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Bayesian modelling of the effect of climate on malaria in Burundi Hermenegilde Nkurunziza, Albrecht Gebhardt, Jürgen Pilz Malaria Journal 2010, 9:114 (29 April 2010) A spatial/longitudinal statistical analysis to identify important climatic variables that influence malaria incidences in Burundi
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Jean Gaudart, Ousmane Touré, Nadine Dessay, A lassane Dicko, Stéphane Ranque, Loic Forest, Jacques Demongeot, Ogobara K Doumbo Malaria Journal 2009, 8:61 (10 April 2009) This paper reports an ambitious attempt to produce a spatially structured model for malaria transmission in Mali, based on remote sensed vegetation indices (NDVI), together with an SIRS type transmission model, calibrated using data from the village of Bancoumana.
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Kigbafori D Silué, Giovanna Raso, Ahoua Yapi, Penelope Vounatsou, Marcel Tanner, Eliézer K N'Goran, Jürg Utzinger Malaria Journal 2008, 7:111 (23 June 2008) A paper that expands on recent work by the authors on geostatistical modeling of helminth infections and explores risk factors for malaria in a small area of western Ivory Coast
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