Table 3

Predictors of in-hospital mortality among paediatric patients hospitalised for malaria in Zomba, Malawi, 2002–2003

Risk factor

% died (Admissions)
Bivariate model
Multiple spatial model



UOR
95% CI
AOR
95% CI

Age
< 1 year
8.5 (1,189)
1.02
(0.88, 1.18)
1.04
(0.84, 1.28)

1–4 years
6.2 (2,136)
0.78
(0.68, 0.89)
0.84
(0.74, 0.98)

5–14 years
10.6 (644)
1.00

1.00

Sex
Female child
7.7 (1,683)
1.01
(0.92, 1.12)



Male
7.6 (2,286)
1.00



Day
Weekend
7.5 (2,418)
1.01
(0.90, 1.11)



Weekday
7.5 (1,492)
1.00



Season
Wet
6.6 (2,262)
0.88
(0.79, 0.99)
0.79
(0.63, 0.88)

Dry
8.6 (1,128)
1.00

1.00

Distance
≥ 5 kms
7.4 (1,938)
0.95
(0.84, 1.03)
0.78
(0.66, 0.94)

> 5 kms
8.8 (1,999)
1.00

1.00

Referral
Yes
8.8 (1,895)
1.18
(1.08, 1.35)
2.95
(2.30, 3.75)

No
6.1 (1,494)
1.00

1.00

Length of stay
1 day
23.7 (891)
3.71
(2.24, 6.14)
2.56
(1.54, 4.20)

2 days
2.6 (1,001)
0.32
(0.17, 0.59)
0.24
(0.14, 0.45)

3 days
2.9 (860)
0.36
(0.19, 0.67)
0.31
(0.17, 0.55)

4–6 days
2.2 (984)
0.27
(0.14, 0.52)
0.24
(0.13, 0.44)

7–20 days
7.7 (233)
1.00

1.00

Treatment
other drugs
7.5 (240)
1.00




quinine
7.6 (3,629)
0.98
(0.60, 1.61)



Heterogeneity term






Unstructured effect
Math



2.04
(0.001, 8.75)
Structured effect
Math



23.74
(0.02, 78.68)

UOR-unadjusted odds ratios, AOR-adjusted odds ratios, CI-confidence intervals

Based on multiple logistic spatial model: Equation 2

Kazembe et al. Malaria Journal 2006 5:93   doi:10.1186/1475-2875-5-93